Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Danny Coale
Danny Coale

Player breakdown

Danny Coale

Virginia Tech · 2012 Draft Class

6-0201 lbs5th round, 152nd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008Virginia TechACC1436408011.329.1
2009Virginia TechACC1330614220.547.2
2010Virginia TechACC1439732318.852.3
2011Virginia TechACC1460904315.164.6
Career551652,658816.148.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.531
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (201 lbs)+0.192
16.1 career YPR — elite downfield efficiency+0.149

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.528
-7.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.591
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.375

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)