Player breakdown
Dante Ridgeway
Ball St. · 2005 Draft Class
5-11212 lbs6th round, 192nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~42
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
75%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | NYJ | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Ball State | MAC | 12 | 44 | 556 | 4 | 12.6 | 46.3 |
| 2003 | Ball State | MAC | 12 | 89 | 1,075 | 10 | 12.1 | 89.6 |
| 2004 | Ball State | MAC | 11 | 105 | 1,399 | 8 | 13.3 | 127.2 |
| Career | 35 | 238 | 3,030 | 22 | 12.7 | 86.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
82%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.517
41.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.304
+30.6 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.252
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.527
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.360
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.247