Player breakdown
Darnell Mooney
Tulane · 2020 Draft Class
5-10176 lbs5th round, 173rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
65%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | CHI | 16 | 9 | 98 | 61 | 631 | 10.3 | 4 | 39.4 |
| 2021 | CHI | 17 | 14 | 140 | 81 | 1,055 | 13 | 4 | 62.1 |
| 2022 | CHI | 12 | 12 | 61 | 40 | 493 | 12.3 | 2 | 41.1 |
| 2023 | CHI | 15 | 14 | 61 | 31 | 414 | 13.4 | 1 | 27.6 |
| 2024 | ATL | 16 | 16 | 106 | 64 | 992 | 15.5 | 5 | 62 |
| 2025 | ATL | 15 | 15 | 72 | 32 | 443 | 13.8 | 1 | 29.5 |
| Career | 91 | 80 | 538 | 309 | 4,028 | 13.0 | 17 | 44.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Tulane | American | 12 | 24 | 267 | 2 | 11.1 | 22.3 |
| 2017 | Tulane | American | 12 | 34 | 599 | 4 | 17.6 | 49.9 |
| 2018 | Tulane | American | 13 | 48 | 993 | 8 | 20.7 | 76.4 |
| 2019 | Tulane | American | 13 | 48 | 713 | 5 | 14.9 | 54.8 |
| Career | 50 | 154 | 2,572 | 19 | 16.7 | 51.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
75%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.227
Physical production synergy+0.353
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.317
Top Negative Factors
-0.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.409
Improvement accelerating (+2.7) — getting better faster each year-0.325