Player breakdown
Da'Ron Brown
Northern Illinois · 2015 Draft Class
6-0205 lbs7th round, 233rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Northern Illinois | MAC | 14 | 24 | 322 | 2 | 13.4 | 23 |
| 2012 | Northern Illinois | MAC | 14 | 17 | 156 | 2 | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| 2013 | Northern Illinois | MAC | 12 | 46 | 752 | 9 | 16.3 | 62.7 |
| Career | 40 | 87 | 1,230 | 13 | 14.1 | 30.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.260
Recruit dominator synergy+0.493
BMI 27.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (205 lbs)+0.167
Top Negative Factors
-25.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Physical production synergy-0.492
Accounted for 1.80 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.396