Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Darrell Hill
Darrell Hill

Player breakdown

Darrell Hill

Northern Illinois · 2002 Draft Class

7th round, 225th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2004TEN140100000
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Northern IllinoisMAC2685014.242.5
2001Northern IllinoisMAC1138822721.674.7
Career1344907720.669.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.180
0.54 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.220
Class YPR rank: top 3% — elite per-target efficiency+0.213

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Improvement accelerating (+8.7) — getting better faster each year-0.614
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.420

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)