Player breakdown
Darren Waller
Georgia Tech · 2015 Draft Class
6-6238 lbs6th round, 204th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | BAL | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| 2016 | BAL | 12 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 85 | 8.5 | 2 | 7.1 |
| 2018 | OAK | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 12.5 | 0 | 18.8 |
| Career | 22 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 178 | 9.9 | 2 | 8.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 14 | 8 | 162 | 0 | 20.3 | 11.6 |
| 2013 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9 | 17 | 367 | 3 | 21.6 | 40.8 |
| 2014 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 12 | 26 | 442 | 6 | 17 | 36.8 |
| Career | 35 | 51 | 971 | 9 | 19.0 | 27.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
71%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.200
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.214
Physical production synergy+0.201
Top Negative Factors
-29.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.768
0.26 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.466
Recruit dominator synergy-0.255