Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Daryl Jones
Daryl Jones

Player breakdown

Daryl Jones

Miami (FL) · 2002 Draft Class

5-9180 lbs7th round, 226th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002NYG1362389011.306.9
2004CHI20200000
Career1562589011.306.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Miami (FL)Big East1112181115.116.5
2001Miami (FL)Big East619240012.640
2006New MexicoMWC121250252.1
2007New MexicoMWC1232508.32.1
2008New MexicoMWC102220112.2
2009New MexicoMWC1235369310.530.8
Career6372862412.013.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.075
Recruit dominator synergy+0.425
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (180 lbs)+0.166

Top Negative Factors

-27.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.756
0.06 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.504
Accounted for 0.51 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.384

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)