Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Ausberry
David Ausberry

Player breakdown

David Ausberry

USC · 2011 Draft Class

6-4215 lbs7th round, 241st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

33%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011OAK1202214701.2
2012OAK1601279213.105.8
2014OAK604214702.3
Career340181112010.903.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007USCPac-10132624029.218.5
2008USCPac-1013685114.26.5
2009USCPac-10712123010.317.6
2010USCPac-101320252412.619.4
Career4664700710.915.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.137
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.555
Recruit dominator synergy+0.483

Top Negative Factors

-40.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.472
Accounted for 0.56 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.356

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)