Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Gettis
David Gettis

Player breakdown

David Gettis

Baylor · 2010 Draft Class

6-3217 lbs6th round, 198th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

14%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010CAR1513673750813.7333.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006BaylorBig 1211482120.57.5
2007BaylorBig 121231407013.133.9
2008BaylorBig 121229391013.532.6
2009BaylorBig 12125267531356.3
Career471161,555413.433.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

56%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.919
Recruit dominator synergy+0.548
7.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.275

Top Negative Factors

-23.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.765
0.09 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.474
Improvement accelerating (+7.2) — getting better faster each year-0.442

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)