Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Tyree
David Tyree

Player breakdown

David Tyree

Syracuse · 2003 Draft Class

6th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003NYG163311621113.2013.2
2004NYG161171015515.519.7
2005NYG130955210.414
2006NYG161331919710.4212.3
2007NYG12054358.802.9
Career735955465012.048.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000SyracuseBig East1114333323.830.3
2001SyracuseBig East1218233012.919.4
2002SyracuseBig East1236559315.546.6
Career35681,125616.532.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.032
Recruit dominator synergy+0.208
16.5 career YPR — elite downfield efficiency+0.160

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Physical production synergy-0.491
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.462

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)