Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ronald Curry
Ronald Curry

Player breakdown

Ronald Curry

North Carolina · 2002 Draft Class

7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003OAK162105316.201.9
2004OAK123705067913.6656.6
2005OAK202212606
2006OAK164896272711.7145.4
2007OAK1613975571713444.8
2008OAK131048191819.5213.9
Career75323161932,34712.21331.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000North CarolinaACC1112020.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

70%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.844
Recruit dominator synergy+0.513
0.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.294

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.762
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.451
Accounted for 0.01 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.336

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)