Player breakdown
David Wells Jr.
Oregon State · 2026 Draft Class
6-1183 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2024 | Oregon State | Ind | 9 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 13.2 | 8.8 |
| 2025 | Oregon State | Ind | 11 | 44 | 466 | 4 | 10.6 | 42.4 |
| Career | 22 | 51 | 551 | 5 | 10.8 | 25.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.160
Recruit dominator synergy+0.456
3.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.283
Top Negative Factors
-27.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Improvement accelerating (+76.7) — getting better faster each year-0.515
Physical production synergy-0.456