Player breakdown
Davion Dozier
Appalachian State · 2026 Draft Class
6-3195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Arkansas | SEC | 3 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 4.7 |
| 2024 | Arkansas | SEC | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 13 |
| 2025 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 9 | 20 | 448 | 5 | 22.4 | 49.8 |
| Career | 13 | 22 | 475 | 6 | 21.6 | 36.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.398
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.237
Class YPR rank: top 1% — elite per-target efficiency+0.228
Top Negative Factors
-4.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Improvement accelerating (+31.0) — getting better faster each year-0.582
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.535