Player breakdown
Dax Milne
BYU · 2021 Draft Class
6-0180 lbs7th round, 258th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | WAS | 13 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 83 | 9.2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 2022 | WAS | 15 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Career | 28 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 120 | 8.0 | 1 | 4.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | BYU | Ind | 10 | 10 | 69 | 1 | 6.9 | 6.9 |
| 2019 | BYU | Ind | 13 | 21 | 285 | 2 | 13.6 | 21.9 |
| 2020 | BYU | Ind | 12 | 70 | 1,188 | 8 | 17 | 99 |
| Career | 35 | 101 | 1,542 | 11 | 15.3 | 44.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
39%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.200
Recruit dominator synergy+0.531
6.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.287
Top Negative Factors
-8.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Improvement accelerating (+16.2) — getting better faster each year-0.499
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.428