Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dazz Newsome
Dazz Newsome

Player breakdown

Dazz Newsome

North Carolina · 2021 Draft Class

5-10190 lbs6th round, 221st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021CHI31522311.507.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017North CarolinaACC918227012.625.2
2018North CarolinaACC1144506211.546
2019North CarolinaACC12721,0181014.184.8
2020North CarolinaACC1254684612.757
Career441882,4351813.055.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.443
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.179
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.170

Top Negative Factors

+0.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Physical production synergy-0.475
Improvement accelerating (+3.5) — getting better faster each year-0.387

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)