Player breakdown
DeAndre Smelter
Georgia Tech · 2015 Draft Class
6-2226 lbs4th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | SFO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 11.5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.200
Class YPR rank: top 16% — elite per-target efficiency+0.236
BMI 29.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (226 lbs)+0.222
Top Negative Factors
-12.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Physical production synergy-0.557
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.399