Player breakdown
DeAree Rogers
Northern Illinois · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | MAC | 12 | 46 | 506 | 3 | 11 | 42.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.076
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.848
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.275
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.708
0.25 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.446
Physical production synergy-0.430