Player breakdown
DeMarco Sampson
San Diego St. · 2011 Draft Class
6-2204 lbs7th round, 249th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | ARI | 12 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 0 | 3 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.454
5.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.247
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.226
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.403
-9.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.567
Improvement accelerating (+19.3) — getting better faster each year-0.501