Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Demarcus Lacey
Demarcus Lacey

Player breakdown

Demarcus Lacey

Marshall · 2026 Draft Class

6-1180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Jacksonville StateCUSA7884010.512
2025MarshallSun Belt1265769511.864.1
Career1973853511.744.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.226
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.205
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.168

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+8.2) — getting better faster each year-0.591
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.583
Physical production synergy-0.469

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)