Player breakdown
Demetrius Williams
Oregon · 2006 Draft Class
6-2197 lbs4th round, 111th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | BAL | 16 | 0 | 45 | 22 | 396 | 18 | 2 | 24.8 |
| 2007 | BAL | 9 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 290 | 14.5 | 0 | 32.2 |
| 2008 | BAL | 7 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 180 | 13.8 | 1 | 25.7 |
| 2009 | BAL | 12 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 142 | 17.8 | 1 | 11.8 |
| 2010 | CLE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 46 | 4 | 134 | 63 | 1,008 | 16.0 | 4 | 21.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 14.6 | 6.6 |
| 2003 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 13 | 51 | 935 | 8 | 18.3 | 71.9 |
| 2004 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9 | 47 | 593 | 2 | 12.6 | 65.9 |
| 2005 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 12 | 59 | 1,059 | 10 | 17.9 | 88.3 |
| Career | 45 | 162 | 2,660 | 20 | 16.4 | 59.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
69%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
6.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.235
BMI 25.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.224
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.216
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.557
+4.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.566
Physical production synergy-0.531