Player breakdown
Denard Robinson
Michigan · 2013 Draft Class
5-10199 lbs5th round, 135th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
71%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | JAX | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | JAX | 13 | 3 | 30 | 21 | 164 | 7.8 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 2016 | JAX | 13 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Career | 42 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 186 | 7.8 | 0 | 4.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 10.3 | 2.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
76%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.172
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.663
Recruit dominator synergy+0.569
Top Negative Factors
-51.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.755
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.456
Accounted for 0.10 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.407