Player breakdown
Denzel Boston
Washington · 2026 Draft Class
6-4212 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
HighAll-Conference x1
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.2M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 3.8 |
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | 14 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 10.2 | 3.6 |
| 2024 | Washington | Big Ten | 13 | 63 | 834 | 9 | 13.2 | 64.2 |
| 2025 | Washington | Big Ten | 12 | 62 | 881 | 11 | 14.2 | 73.4 |
| Career | 43 | 132 | 1,781 | 20 | 13.5 | 41.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
83%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
3.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.266
BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.200
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart+0.165
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.493
-14.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.710
Physical production synergy-0.544