Predicting the Pros
Predictions/George Pickens
George Pickens

Player breakdown

George Pickens

Georgia · 2022 Draft Class

6-3195 lbs2nd round, 52nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
HighAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022PIT1712845280115.4447.1
2023PIT1716106631,14018.1567.1
2024PIT14121035990015.3364.3
2025DAL1715137931,42915.4984.1
Career65554302674,27016.02165.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019GeorgiaSEC1449727814.851.9
2020GeorgiaSEC836513614.364.1
2021GeorgiaSEC45107021.426.8
Career26901,3471415.051.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

56%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.252
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.522
Physical production synergy+0.302

Top Negative Factors

-2.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Accounted for 1.75 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.414
Recruit dominator synergy-0.256

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)