Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Deon Cain
Deon Cain

Player breakdown

Deon Cain

Clemson · 2018 Draft Class

6-2202 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

77%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
20192TM13620912413.809.5
2019IND73144521307.4
2019PIT63657214.4012
Career2612401824813.809.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015ClemsonACC1334582517.144.8
2016ClemsonACC1538724919.148.3
2017ClemsonACC1458734612.752.4
Career421302,0402015.748.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.247
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.202
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (202 lbs)+0.189

Top Negative Factors

-7.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Physical production synergy-0.480
Accounted for 1.57 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.382

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)