Player breakdown
Deondre Johnson
Jacksonville State · 2027 Draft Class
6-8200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | CUSA | 14 | 30 | 724 | 6 | 24.1 | 51.7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.850
46.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.294
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.268
Top Negative Factors
-2.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.759
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.431
Physical production synergy-0.407