Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Derrick Hamilton
Derrick Hamilton

Player breakdown

Derrick Hamilton

Clemson · 2004 Draft Class

6-3196 lbs3rd round, 77th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

16%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2004SFO20100000
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001ClemsonACC114959031253.6
2002ClemsonACC1352602211.646.3
2003ClemsonACC13621,0261016.578.9
Career371632,2181513.659.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.238
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.221
BMI 24.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.219

Top Negative Factors

+5.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
Physical production synergy-0.548
0.41 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.296

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)