Player breakdown
Desmond Reid
Pitt · 2026 Draft Class
5-6174 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pitt | ACC | 11 | 52 | 579 | 4 | 11.1 | 52.6 |
| 2025 | Pitt | ACC | 7 | 23 | 317 | 2 | 13.8 | 45.3 |
| Career | 18 | 75 | 896 | 6 | 11.9 | 49.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.045
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.797
Recruit dominator synergy+0.474
Top Negative Factors
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.375
Accounted for 1.16 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.367
Physical production synergy-0.241