Player breakdown
Deuce Alexander
Ole Miss · 2027 Draft Class
5-11160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2 | 2 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| 2024 | Wake Forest | ACC | 12 | 36 | 400 | 2 | 11.1 | 33.3 |
| 2025 | Ole Miss | SEC | 15 | 44 | 684 | 2 | 15.5 | 45.6 |
| Career | 29 | 82 | 1,114 | 5 | 13.6 | 38.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
22%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.154
Recruit dominator synergy+0.499
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.220
Top Negative Factors
-5.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.716
Improvement accelerating (+21.8) — getting better faster each year-0.579
0.13 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.440