Player breakdown
DeVier Posey
Ohio St. · 2012 Draft Class
6-2211 lbs3rd round, 68th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | HOU | 11 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 87 | 14.5 | 0 | 7.9 |
| 2013 | HOU | 14 | 0 | 25 | 15 | 155 | 10.3 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2014 | HOU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 30 |
| Career | 26 | 1 | 40 | 22 | 272 | 12.4 | 0 | 10.5 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.264
Physical production synergy+0.412
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.235
Top Negative Factors
-9.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.773
Improvement accelerating (+6.2) — getting better faster each year-0.344
0.43 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.305