Player breakdown
Devin Duvernay
Texas · 2020 Draft Class
5-10200 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | BAL | 16 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 201 | 10.1 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 2021 | BAL | 16 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 272 | 8.2 | 2 | 17 |
| 2022 | BAL | 14 | 13 | 49 | 37 | 407 | 11 | 3 | 29.1 |
| 2023 | BAL | 13 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | JAX | 13 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 79 | 7.2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 2025 | CHI | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Career | 89 | 25 | 152 | 107 | 1,003 | 9.4 | 5 | 11.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Texas | Big 12 | 11 | 20 | 412 | 3 | 20.6 | 37.5 |
| 2017 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 9 | 124 | 0 | 13.8 | 9.5 |
| 2018 | Texas | Big 12 | 14 | 41 | 546 | 4 | 13.3 | 39 |
| 2019 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 106 | 1,386 | 9 | 13.1 | 106.6 |
| Career | 51 | 176 | 2,468 | 16 | 14.0 | 48.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.259
BMI 28.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (200 lbs)+0.212
Speed × production: 149.3 — elite combined athletic output+0.210
Top Negative Factors
-6.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.728
Physical production synergy-0.601
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.342