Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devin Fuller
Devin Fuller

Player breakdown

Devin Fuller

UCLA · 2016 Draft Class

6-0185 lbs7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012UCLAPac-1292014527.316.1
2013UCLAPac-12124347141139.3
2014UCLAPac-12135944717.634.4
2015UCLAPac-121124259310.823.5
Career451461,322109.129.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.221
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.89x — route-running independent of system+0.177
Volume + efficiency: 0.44 — solid combined output within draft class+0.157

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.417
-22.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.571
Improvement accelerating (+2.2) — getting better faster each year-0.375

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)