Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devin Street
Devin Street

Player breakdown

Devin Street

Pittsburgh · 2014 Draft Class

6-3198 lbs5th round, 146th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014DAL1607218901.1
2015DAL15213711416.317.6
2016IND5061202004
Career362261015215.214.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010PittBig East1325318212.724.5
2011PittBig East1353754214.258
2012PittBig East1373975513.475
2013PittACC1051854716.785.4
Career492022,9011614.459.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.308
Recruit dominator synergy+0.460
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.03x — route-running independent of system+0.178

Top Negative Factors

+4.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.730
Physical production synergy-0.569
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.345

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)