Player breakdown
Harry Douglas
Louisville · 2008 Draft Class
5-11176 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | ATL | 16 | 0 | 39 | 23 | 320 | 13.9 | 1 | 20 |
| 2010 | ATL | 16 | 4 | 53 | 22 | 294 | 13.4 | 1 | 18.4 |
| 2011 | ATL | 16 | 4 | 62 | 39 | 498 | 12.8 | 1 | 31.1 |
| 2012 | ATL | 15 | 1 | 59 | 38 | 395 | 10.4 | 1 | 26.3 |
| 2013 | ATL | 16 | 11 | 132 | 85 | 1,067 | 12.6 | 2 | 66.7 |
| 2014 | ATL | 12 | 6 | 74 | 51 | 556 | 10.9 | 2 | 46.3 |
| 2015 | TEN | 14 | 12 | 72 | 36 | 411 | 11.4 | 2 | 29.4 |
| 2016 | TEN | 11 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 210 | 14 | 0 | 19.1 |
| 2017 | TEN | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| Career | 118 | 40 | 516 | 310 | 3,759 | 12.1 | 10 | 31.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Louisville | CUSA | 11 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 8.6 | 3.9 |
| 2005 | Louisville | Big East | 12 | 27 | 457 | 2 | 16.9 | 38.1 |
| 2006 | Louisville | Big East | 13 | 70 | 1,265 | 6 | 18.1 | 97.3 |
| 2007 | Louisville | Big East | 10 | 71 | 1,159 | 7 | 16.3 | 115.9 |
| Career | 46 | 173 | 2,924 | 15 | 16.9 | 63.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
88%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.256
Recruit dominator synergy+0.551
3.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.259
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+28.4) — getting better faster each year-0.458
Physical production synergy-0.356
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.293