Player breakdown
Devon Wylie
Fresno St. · 2012 Draft Class
5-9187 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | KAN | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 53 | 8.8 | 0 | 8.8 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Fresno State | WAC | 10 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 44 | 4.4 |
| 2008 | Fresno State | WAC | 9 | 22 | 269 | 2 | 12.2 | 29.9 |
| 2009 | Fresno State | WAC | 10 | 17 | 259 | 4 | 15.2 | 25.9 |
| 2010 | Fresno State | WAC | 1 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 19.5 | 39 |
| 2011 | Fresno State | WAC | 13 | 56 | 716 | 1 | 12.8 | 55.1 |
| Career | 43 | 98 | 1,327 | 8 | 13.5 | 30.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.043
Recruit dominator synergy+0.501
4.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.278
Top Negative Factors
-23.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.763
Improvement accelerating (+15.3) — getting better faster each year-0.518
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.470