Player breakdown
Devonte Ross
Penn State · 2026 Draft Class
6-0170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Troy | Sun Belt | 13 | 13 | 147 | 0 | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| 2023 | Troy | Sun Belt | 14 | 40 | 428 | 3 | 10.7 | 30.6 |
| 2024 | Troy | Sun Belt | 12 | 76 | 1,043 | 11 | 13.7 | 86.9 |
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 36 | 501 | 5 | 13.9 | 38.5 |
| Career | 52 | 165 | 2,119 | 19 | 12.8 | 40.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.081
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.214
BMI 23.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (170 lbs)+0.194
Top Negative Factors
-12.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
Improvement accelerating (+6.1) — getting better faster each year-0.586
Physical production synergy-0.549