Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dexter McCluster
Dexter McCluster

Player breakdown

Dexter McCluster

Mississippi · 2010 Draft Class

5-9172 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010KAN117392120910119
2011KAN16464463287.1120.5
2013KAN15683535119.6234.1
2014TEN14236261977.6114.1
2015TEN11241312608.4123.6
2016SDG60117365.106
Career73212741841,5418.4621.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006Ole MissSEC615232115.538.7
2007Ole MissSEC827326212.140.8
2008Ole MissSEC1344625114.248.1
2009Ole MissSEC1344520311.840
Career401301,703713.142.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.212
Recruit dominator synergy+0.547
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.200

Top Negative Factors

-9.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.756
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.466
Accounted for 1.83 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.409

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)