Player breakdown
Dezmen Roebuck
Washington · 2026 Draft Class
5-10170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | Big Ten | 13 | 42 | 560 | 7 | 13.3 | 43.1 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.808
Recruit dominator synergy+0.413
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.226
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.492
-8.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.697
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.342