Player breakdown
Dezmon Patmon
Washington St. · 2020 Draft Class
6-3192 lbs6th round, 212th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | IND | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 1 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | IND | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 24 |
| Career | 9 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | 1 | 5.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 6.3 |
| 2017 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 13 | 35 | 379 | 0 | 10.8 | 29.2 |
| 2018 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 13 | 61 | 816 | 5 | 13.4 | 62.8 |
| 2019 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 13 | 58 | 762 | 8 | 13.1 | 58.6 |
| Career | 42 | 156 | 1,976 | 13 | 12.7 | 47.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.444
6.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258
BMI 24.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.164
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.343
-7.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.566
Improvement accelerating (+42.0) — getting better faster each year-0.545