Player breakdown
Dillon Mitchell
Oregon · 2019 Draft Class
6-1197 lbs7th round, 239th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 2017 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12 | 42 | 517 | 4 | 12.3 | 43.1 |
| 2018 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 13 | 75 | 1,184 | 10 | 15.8 | 91.1 |
| Career | 31 | 119 | 1,710 | 14 | 14.4 | 55.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.265
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.226
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.221
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.485
+0.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.523
Physical production synergy-0.460