Player breakdown
D.J. Moore
Maryland · 2018 Draft Class
6-0210 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CAR | 16 | 10 | 82 | 55 | 788 | 14.3 | 2 | 49.3 |
| 2019 | CAR | 15 | 15 | 135 | 87 | 1,175 | 13.5 | 4 | 78.3 |
| 2020 | CAR | 15 | 14 | 118 | 66 | 1,193 | 18.1 | 4 | 79.5 |
| 2021 | CAR | 17 | 17 | 163 | 93 | 1,157 | 12.4 | 4 | 68.1 |
| 2022 | CAR | 17 | 17 | 118 | 63 | 888 | 14.1 | 7 | 52.2 |
| 2023 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 136 | 96 | 1,364 | 14.2 | 8 | 80.2 |
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 140 | 98 | 966 | 9.9 | 6 | 56.8 |
| 2025 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 85 | 50 | 682 | 13.6 | 6 | 40.1 |
| Career | 131 | 124 | 977 | 608 | 8,213 | 13.5 | 41 | 62.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 13 | 7 | 143 | 2 | 20.4 | 11 |
| 2015 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12 | 25 | 357 | 3 | 14.3 | 29.8 |
| 2016 | Maryland | Big Ten | 13 | 41 | 637 | 6 | 15.5 | 49 |
| 2017 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12 | 80 | 1,033 | 8 | 12.9 | 86.1 |
| Career | 50 | 153 | 2,170 | 19 | 14.2 | 43.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
92%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.293
Physical production synergy+0.515
32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.297
Top Negative Factors
-1.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.701
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.380
Recruit dominator synergy-0.260