Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Donaven McCulley
Donaven McCulley

Player breakdown

Donaven McCulley

Michigan · 2026 Draft Class

6-4203 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022IndianaBig Ten1216169110.614.1
2023IndianaBig Ten1248644613.453.7
2024IndianaBig Ten4221110.55.3
2025MichiganBig Ten1339588315.145.2
Career411051,4221113.534.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.102
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.242
BMI 24.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.164

Top Negative Factors

-10.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Physical production synergy-0.516
Improvement accelerating (+2.8) — getting better faster each year-0.467

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)