Player breakdown
Donovan Faupel
New Mexico State · 2026 Draft Class
6-1195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | New Mexico State | CUSA | 11 | 8 | 98 | 0 | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| 2024 | New Mexico State | CUSA | 7 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 16 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | New Mexico State | CUSA | 12 | 61 | 661 | 7 | 10.8 | 55.1 |
| Career | 30 | 72 | 807 | 8 | 11.2 | 26.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.90x — route-running independent of system+0.175
8.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.164
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.161
Top Negative Factors
-27.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.743
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.585
Physical production synergy-0.545