Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dontayvion Wicks
Dontayvion Wicks

Player breakdown

Dontayvion Wicks

Virginia · 2023 Draft Class

6-1206 lbs5th round, 159th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023GNB156583958114.9438.7
2024GNB175763941510.6524.4
2025GNB147463033211.1223.7
Career46181801081,32812.31128.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019VirginiaACC10361120.36.1
2021VirginiaACC12571,203921.1100.3
2022VirginiaACC830430214.353.8
Career30901,6941218.856.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

86%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

6.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.252
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.237
BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (206 lbs)+0.225

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.326
+0.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.708
Physical production synergy-0.535

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)