Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dont'e Thornton
Dont'e Thornton

Player breakdown

Dont'e Thornton

Tennessee · 2025 Draft Class

6-5205 lbs4th round, 108th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2025LVR158301013513.509
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021OregonPac-12149175219.412.5
2022OregonPac-121117366121.533.3
2023TennesseeSEC913224117.224.9
2024TennesseeSEC1326661625.450.8
Career47651,4261021.930.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

9

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.239
BMI 24.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (205 lbs)+0.214
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.97 — elite recruit at elite school+0.204

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.312
-15.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.601
Physical production synergy-0.471

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)