Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dorin Dickerson
Dorin Dickerson

Player breakdown

Dorin Dickerson

Pittsburgh · 2010 Draft Class

6-2205 lbs7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006PittBig East715050.7
2008PittBig East1313174213.413.4
2009PittBig East13495291010.840.7
Career33637081211.221.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.145
0.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.278
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.86x — route-running independent of system+0.186

Top Negative Factors

-34.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.719
Physical production synergy-0.565
Improvement accelerating (+104.8) — getting better faster each year-0.513

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)