Player breakdown
Doug Gabriel
Central Florida · 2003 Draft Class
6-2213 lbs5th round, 167th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
86%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | OAK | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1.4 |
| 2004 | OAK | 16 | 5 | 79 | 33 | 551 | 16.7 | 2 | 34.4 |
| 2005 | OAK | 14 | 2 | 72 | 37 | 554 | 15 | 3 | 39.6 |
| 2006 | 2TM | 15 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 428 | 14.3 | 3 | 28.5 |
| 2006 | OAK | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 0 | 28 |
| 2006 | NWE | 12 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 344 | 13.8 | 3 | 28.7 |
| Career | 72 | 17 | 260 | 131 | 1,978 | 15.1 | 11 | 27.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | UCF | Ind | 10 | 22 | 632 | 9 | 28.7 | 63.2 |
| 2002 | UCF | MAC | 12 | 75 | 1,237 | 11 | 16.5 | 103.1 |
| Career | 22 | 97 | 1,869 | 20 | 19.3 | 85.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
72%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.195
+29.0 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.287
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (213 lbs)+0.252
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.592
Efficiency consistency: 1.49 — highly consistent across seasons-0.285
Recruit dominator synergy-0.235