Player breakdown
Duce Robinson
Florida State · 2026 Draft Class
6-6222 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | USC | Pac-12 | 11 | 16 | 351 | 2 | 21.9 | 31.9 |
| 2024 | USC | Big Ten | 12 | 23 | 396 | 5 | 17.2 | 33 |
| 2025 | Florida State | ACC | 12 | 56 | 1,081 | 6 | 19.3 | 90.1 |
| Career | 35 | 95 | 1,828 | 13 | 19.2 | 52.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.117
Class YPR rank: top 4% — elite per-target efficiency+0.200
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.155
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.702
Physical production synergy-0.509
Improvement accelerating (+2.1) — getting better faster each year-0.390