Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dwayne Harris
Dwayne Harris

Player breakdown

Dwayne Harris

East Carolina · 2011 Draft Class

5-10203 lbs6th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012DAL160311722213.1113.9
2013DAL133149808.926.2
2014DAL16012711616.607.3
2015NYG156573639611426.4
2016NYG16111131310.8
2018OAK15166406.702.7
2019OAK30117702.3
Career94111227787411.489.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007East CarolinaCUSA132624629.518.9
2008East CarolinaCUSA1058654111.365.4
2009East CarolinaCUSA1483978711.869.9
2010East CarolinaCUSA131011,1231011.186.4
Career502683,0012011.260.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 29.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.171
Speed score 96.4 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.145
60.0 career ypg — solid college production+0.127

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.351
+4.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.711
Physical production synergy-0.575

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)