Player breakdown
Dwayne Jarrett
USC · 2007 Draft Class
6-4219 lbs2nd round, 45th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~39
EliteAll-American x2Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | CAR | 7 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2008 | CAR | 9 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 119 | 11.9 | 0 | 13.2 |
| 2009 | CAR | 13 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 196 | 11.5 | 1 | 15.1 |
| 2010 | CAR | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 13.3 |
| Career | 32 | 3 | 68 | 35 | 428 | 12.2 | 1 | 13.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 55 | 849 | 13 | 15.4 | 65.3 |
| 2005 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 91 | 1,274 | 16 | 14 | 98 |
| 2006 | USC | Pac-10 | 12 | 70 | 1,015 | 12 | 14.5 | 84.6 |
| Career | 38 | 216 | 3,138 | 41 | 14.5 | 82.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
80%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.127
Physical production synergy+0.479
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (219 lbs)+0.227
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.239
51.8 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.192
Team averaged 37.0 pass attempts/game — balanced offensive system-0.145