Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dylan Cantrell
Dylan Cantrell

Player breakdown

Dylan Cantrell

Texas Tech · 2018 Draft Class

6-3226 lbs6th round, 191st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Texas TechBig 12697017.811.7
2014Texas TechBig 121220312215.626
2016Texas TechBig 121058675811.667.5
2017Texas TechBig 121371816711.562.8
Career411581,8731811.945.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.081
Recruit dominator synergy+0.522
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.173

Top Negative Factors

-11.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+10.7) — getting better faster each year-0.430
Accounted for 1.51 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.412

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)